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The payments market will continue to drive change and transform financial institutions around the world in 2025.
Each institution will have its own set of priorities influencing activity around these drivers, but there is widespread recognition of the revenue opportunities generated by these trends, as well as the risks to long-term business success for those who fail to address them.
The ongoing adoption of open banking standards, combined with the proliferation of new instant payment clearing rails, is fuelling the global growth in account-to-account based payments. This shift is coming at the expense of the growth rate in credit card payments. So, whilst the overall volumes of credit card payments continue to rise globally, the rate of growth has slowed. At the same time, the rate of growth of account-to-account payments is increasing.
Over the past five years, the cross-border payments market has seen an explosion of alternative payment network service providers, with new players creating successful franchises targeting either regional or global market opportunities. These service providers are essentially ‘super correspondents’ offering expanded distribution options, lower cost routings, and reduced risks for exotic corridors. With major payment brands like Mastercard and Visa entering the fray with services such as Mastercard Move and Visa Direct, long-established networks like Wise, Western Union, Moneygram, etc. are facing stiff competition. However, many financial institutions are looking to leverage diverse services from these different players, combining currency corridors supported by these alternative networks with their own established SWIFT based correspondent banking relationships.
Domestic, regional, and global payment clearing rails continually update their standards and services. Whether this takes the form of new instant payment services or updated data standards for local or cross border flows, banks around the world must maintain compliance, and even beyond that, provide new added value services around these new paradigms. In 2025, the highest profile of such changes are:
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The launch of Fedwire ISO at the end of Q1 in the US.
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New SEPA instant payment regulations in Europe, including the mandating of Verification of Payee services across all SEPA payment types, with various go live deadlines in January and October.
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In November the final deadline for the SWIFT CBPR+ ISO 20022 transition period which will see the removal of the MT1xx and MT2xx message types from the network.