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Griffin Wong gives his best bets for Matchweek 15 of the Premier League.
We’re approaching the midway point of the Premier League season as Matchweek 15 is upon us, and while Liverpool and Southampton have separated themselves at the top and bottom of the table, respectively, second and 13th are separated by just nine points. For those looking to get in on the football action, there’s no shortage of options at DraftKings Sportsbook. Here are my top betting picks for this weekend’s Premier League slate.
Here’s a look at the full schedule for Matchweek 15:
Liverpool at Everton, 7:30 a.m. EST, December 7
Southampton at Aston Villa, 10 a.m. EST, December 7
Newcastle at Brentford, 10 a.m. EST, December 7
Manchester City at Crystal Palace, 10 a.m. EST, December 7
Nottingham Forest at Manchester United, 12:30 p.m. EST, December 7
Arsenal at Fulham, 9 a.m. EST, December 8
AFC Bournemouth at Ipswich Town, 9 a.m. EST, December 8
Brighton & Hove Albion at Leicester City, 9 a.m. EST, December 8
Chelsea at Tottenham Hotspur, 11:30 a.m. EST, December 8
Wolves at West Ham United, 3 p.m. EST, December 9
Both Manchester United and Nottingham Forest are scrappy teams who rank among the most-booked in the Premier League. So far this season, United ranks fourth in the Premier League with 38 yellows and a red, while Forest is a slot behind them with 37 yellows and two reds.
The Red Devils are in the early phases of adjusting to new head coach Ruben Amorim’s tactics and picked up three bookings in their 2-0 loss to Arsenal on December 4. Meanwhile, Forest picked up four yellows during their deflating 3-0 defeat to Manchester City. With both teams assuredly feeling some sense of frustration, the referees will have their hands full on Saturday night.
Crystal Palace fans entered the season with high hopes despite losing their third-leading goalscorer, French forward Michael Olise, to German giants Bayern Munich during the summer. But, three months into the new season, the Eagles have struggled to replace Olise’s production and sit in just 17th place in the table, three points clear of the relegation zone.
Palace’s attack has been terrible at converting chances this year. Despite an expected 18.4 goals based on the shot quality they’ve generated, Eagles attackers have only put 12 in the back of the net, the second-worst total in the Premier League, ahead of only bottom-of-the-table Southampton. Crystal Palace will host Manchester City on Saturday, and despite City’s recent struggles, goalkeeper Ederson managed to keep a clean sheet against a more clinical attack in Nottingham Forest on Wednesday.
Palace’s offensive struggles have been even more pronounced at Selhurst Park; in seven home matches this year, they’ve managed to slot home just four goals. That won’t cut it against a defense as chock-ful of talent as Manchester City’s. With momentum back in City’s favor after its convincing win on Wednesday, I expect it to pick up another one on Saturday, and to hold the Eagles scoreless in the process.
Betting against the Egyptian prince is a foolhardy proposition. In what is rumored to be his last season at Anfield, the 32-year-old winger is having arguably the best campaign of his storied career. Liverpool wouldn’t be at the top of the table without his brilliance, and I expect him to turn in another big performance in the Merseyside Derby on Saturday.
After a horrible start to the season, Everton has turned it around and sits in a comfortable 15th in table, five points clear of the relegation zone. Goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept five clean sheets so far this season, tied for the third-most among Premier League keepers. On the whole, the Toffees’ defense has been more or less middle-of-the-pack.
It won’t matter. Salah is inevitable. He has converted a ridiculous 21% of his shots into goals and has scored in seven consecutive Premier League matches. Arne Slot’s team will be extra motivated to make a statement in the final Merseyside Derby at Goodison Park, and I expect Salah to extend his goal-scoring streak to eight games.
It’s been a rough season for Wolves, and it got worse on Wednesday as José Sá allowed Everton to slot four goals home in a complete drubbing. Wolves now sit 19th in the table despite a powerful attack that has scored 22 goals of its own, the eighth-most of any team, and they are in serious danger of being relegated after seven years in the top flight.
West Ham hasn’t been great this year either; the Hammers sit just 14th in the table and have picked up just four points from their last five games. Their defense is especially poor, having conceded 27 goals this year, fourth-most in the Premier League. By shot quality, West Ham’s average attack actually looks a little bit better than Wolves’, despite the fact that Wolves have scored four more goals.
Monday’s matchup may not be the highest-quality match of the weekend, but it will certainly be entertaining and probably high-scoring. And in a battle of eminently movable objects, I just trust West Ham a little more.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
