North American companies brace for fallout from Trump tariffs

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By Siddharth Cavale

(Reuters) -For North American companies, the “wait and see” moment on tariffs is over.

U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 25% levy on goods from Canada and Mexico, along with a 10% tariff on China, in what could be the opening stages of a full-scale trade war likely to create new headaches for executives that have been wrangling with higher costs for several years.

Tariffs on goods imported from the U.S.’s three largest trade partners could upend industries from autos to consumer goods to energy. Executives have been able to deflect questions about dealing with tariffs before Saturday’s announcement, and many wanted to avoid antagonizing Trump’s White House after he took office. That non-response may no longer be possible.

“All CEOs are bewildered by these non-strategic tariff tantrums being directed at our closest allies instead of adversaries,” said Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, professor at Yale School of Management in New Haven, Conn.

Numerous global companies will report results this coming week, including Amazon, Ford Motor, Mondelez International and Owens-Illinois. They will likely face a barrage of questions on how they plan to mitigate these costs.

Reuters reached out to numerous companies, none of whom would comment on the record about the tariffs. Several industry associations did comment, though some were more critical than others.

The U.S. Steelworkers union, the largest industrial union in North America, criticized Trump’s tariffs on Canada, citing some $1.3 trillion in trade between the two countries.

“These tariffs don’t just hurt Canada. They threaten the stability of industries on both sides of the border,” union president David McCall said in a statement.

FOREIGN FACTORIES

Automakers like General Motors and Toyota, could shift production from foreign factories to the United States, while companies like global aluminum giant Alcoa have suggested re-routing shipments to reduce the tariff burden.

Many companies accelerated shipments in the fourth quarter ahead of Trump’s return to office.

Offsetting tariffs is harder for smaller companies without global operations that need foreign parts. Numerous aerospace and auto companies operate near the U.S.-Canada border, while U.S. refiners in the Midwest rely heavily on Canadian crude oil.

Collin Shaw, president of MEMA Original Equipment Suppliers, which represents more than 500 auto suppliers, said in a Sunday interview that tariffs could introduce substantial delays into the production process.

“Even if (something) like a transmission is finally assembled in the United States, it’s sourcing products from all three countries,” Shaw said. “A hiccup in just one of those not only will shut down a major component, like a transmission or an interior, but then you can’t build the rest of the vehicle.”

Tariffs are paid by importing companies, not foreign nations, as Trump frequently claims erroneously. This week, he acknowledged that tariffs would cause short-term disruption as the costs are sometimes passed on to consumers.

Trump has pursued tariffs as a way of forcing companies to relocate to the United States. But that is frustrating to firms that shifted production to Canada and Mexico in response to Trump’s tariffs on China in his first term – and now are set to be hit even after “nearshoring” closer to home.

CHECKOUT PRICES

“Our American automakers … should not have their competitiveness undermined by tariffs that will raise the cost of building vehicles in the United States and stymie investment in the American workforce,” said Matt Blunt, president of the American Automotive Policy Council, which represents Ford Motor, General Motors and Stellantis.

Research shows that higher tariffs usually lead to higher checkout prices, but the exact effect is unclear. Experts told Reuters that businesses might absorb some or all of the tax burden.

Tom Madrecki, vice president of supply chain resiliency at the Consumer Brands Association, said in a statement: “The consumer packaged goods industry supports a strategic ‘America First Trade Policy’ that protects American jobs and keeps food, beverage, household and personal care products affordable.”

However, he also said tariffs could cause higher prices and urged Mexico and Canada to work with President Trump.

Big-box stores like Walmart and Target, which have been fighting to keep prices low because of inflation, might not be able to withstand higher supply chain costs.

The two companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment, but the National Retail Federation, which represents the nation’s largest retailers, said the White House should explore other ways to achieve its policy goals.

“As long as these universal tariffs are in place, Americans will be forced to pay higher prices on everyday consumer goods,” said David French, NRF executive vice president of government relations.

Church & Dwight, which makes Arm & Hammer detergent and Trojan condoms, said it would focus on local manufacturing and productivity improvements to offset the effects.

“These are volatile situations, so we’ll see how long it lasts and what happens,” CFO Rick Dierker said in an earnings call on Friday, adding that they have the ability to “be reactive when we need to be.”

(Reporting by Siddharth Cavale; Additional reporting by Kalea Hall and Nora Eckert in Detroit and Andrea Shalal in Washington; Writing by David Gaffen; Editing by Christopher Cushing and David Holmes)